Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.507448 0.564080 0.625218 0.696253 0.776676 0.865084 0.969876
2025-04-06 0.413749 0.490700 0.580152 0.692361 0.830108 0.994648 1.207506
2025-04-13 0.348942 0.431342 0.531805 0.664315 0.835991 1.052929 1.351042
2025-04-20 0.316628 0.405037 0.517188 0.671502 0.880822 1.158488 1.560769
2025-04-27 0.291736 0.384253 0.505671 0.678961 0.923650 1.262466 1.777141
2025-05-04 0.270849 0.366003 0.494679 0.684402 0.962127 1.361941 1.996220
2025-05-11 0.252144 0.348596 0.482571 0.685987 0.993673 1.452710 2.210848
2025-05-18 0.238054 0.336181 0.475933 0.694056 1.034386 1.559731 2.461733
2025-05-25 0.219300 0.315346 0.455090 0.678434 1.036402 1.605647 2.617015
2025-06-01 0.209406 0.306720 0.451436 0.688441 1.079020 1.719690 2.899651
2025-06-08 0.196859 0.293062 0.438915 0.683020 1.095433 1.791079 3.114855
2025-06-15 0.188179 0.284676 0.433803 0.688845 1.130630 1.897137 3.405120
2025-06-22 0.176617 0.271164 0.419879 0.679371 1.139453 1.959127 3.623307
2025-06-29 0.167124 0.260349 0.409565 0.675168 1.157152 2.038983 3.887348
2025-07-06 0.154078 0.242886 0.387071 0.647943 1.130491 2.033027 3.975812
2025-07-13 0.148485 0.237375 0.384151 0.654925 1.167409 2.151715 4.340048
2025-07-20 0.143368 0.232306 0.381571 0.662174 1.205248 2.275785 4.732949
2025-07-27 0.138300 0.226981 0.378138 0.667462 1.239557 2.396012 5.134153
2025-08-03 0.133003 0.220921 0.372973 0.669002 1.266382 2.503248 5.520536
2025-08-10 0.129025 0.216929 0.371218 0.676842 1.306554 2.642926 6.005439
2025-08-17 0.121985 0.207075 0.358182 0.661662 1.297463 2.673809 6.224881
2025-08-24 0.118887 0.204160 0.357745 0.671386 1.341900 2.828984 6.785870
2025-08-31 0.113976 0.197654 0.350180 0.666118 1.353340 2.909601 7.162708